A Cheltenham Update

It has been a fair while since the last entry on this blog but fear not I haven’t been sitting on my hands doing nothing, which is usually why there is often a lull in activity on here. We have been working on the Cheltenham Festival!

As majority of our attentions are beginning to be drawn towards the Cheltenham Festival next month, I have been working tirelessly along with good friend Charlie Sutton in getting the Cheltenham Tips website up-to-date after a quiet year last year.

Those of you have been visiting this website for a few years now will know that each year I try and do as many previews as possible revolving around the Cheltenham Festival, usually with the help of Jacob Cohen (Alias: Dancing Brave). However this year Jacob has been unable to find the time required to contribute towards the website so Charlie has been drafted in to work alongside myself.

Over the last week we have posted a whole host of previews of races which are going to take place at the Cheltenham Festival next month, and have spent plenty of time and hard work into making them as good as possible for you, our reader.

I have browsed around the web and haven’t found much in the way of previews available yet so we are up nice and early with plenty of time for users to read what we think will be winning at the Cheltenham Festival 2013, and then form their own judgements based on the knowledge we’ve put forward.

Races we have previewed up until this article was published:
Cheltenham ’13 – Supreme Novices Hurdle
Cheltenham ’13 – Arkle Chase
Cheltenham ’13 – Champion Hurdle
Cheltenham ’13 – Cross Country Chase
Cheltenham ’13 – Neptune Novices Hurdle
Cheltenham ’13 – RSA Chase
Cheltenham ’13 – Champion Chase
Cheltenham ’13 – Jewson Novices’ Chase
Cheltenham ’13 – Ryanair Chase
Cheltenham ’13 – World Hurdle
Cheltenham ’13 – Triumph Hurdle
Cheltenham ’13 – Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
Cheltenham ’13 – Cheltenham Gold Cup

Feel free to click on any of the links above where you will be taken to the relevant article on the Cheltenhamtips website. You can alternatively go via the Cheltenham Festival Races tab on the Cheltenhamtips website, by clicking on the race you require and clicking through to the preview from there.

Over the next couple of weeks our attentions will be turning towards the handicaps at The Festival and thus more is still to be done with the website but we are aiming to make it the most informed place around ahead of the greatest show on turf.

Thanks for reading.

Longshot Betting – 16th March 2012

Thursday was again a profitable day for the blog with Salut Flo scoring nicely under a front-running ride, advised at 11/2 in the morning. The other selection in Gurtacrue sacrificed all chance with a poor round of jumping and probably needs further. But, I still think he stands in good stead of winning a big prize at some point in his career. The following two selections are slightly unoriginal, and one is at a price that I wouldn’t usually play at. Even so, they’re far too big a price regardless.  Continue reading “Longshot Betting – 16th March 2012”

Longshot Betting – 15th March 2012

Wednesday was an excellent day for the blog, with only selection needing to get in front to secure a big profit. Son Of Flicka was well-backed from the 40/1 advised, into 16/1 and won pretty easily in the end. It will be one of the bigger gambles of the week and it meant that it’s quite likely that we’ll be in the black at the end of the Cheltenham Festival all being well. Hopefully a couple more winners will surface before the weekend and I’ve only got two today, as it’s a tough day of betting for a mainly handicap punter.

Byrne Group Plate

As many will know, I’m no fan of favourites in these big handicap races, but on this occasion I think the price of SALUT FLO still warrants a bet, as I think he still easily has a victory within him off a mark of 137 if he doesn’t make a huge mistake as he did last time. With a clear round, it’s difficult to see him out of the shake up. Lightly-raced, bursting on to the scene in UK handicaps with an easy success off a mark of 118 at Doncaster back in 2010, looking like an obvious high-class animal. He put in a fair effort when 2nd on heavy ground subsequently (don’t think the ground was to suit) and wasn’t seen for 20 months until last December. Well-backed all the day in the market, he was still travelling well and surely would have made the frame at the very least until making a huge blunder 3 out, the jockey being lucky to stay in the saddle. His chance was gone but it was still a positive enough effort first time back after a break, and he looks set for further success I feel today. Conditions are fine, he’s been dropped a further 1lb and looks very attractively handicapped. The vibes coming out of the David Pipe camp are that this is one of their big chances of the week, and it’s easy to see why, given he’s unexposed and looks capable of plenty of further progression. Although prices around 5/1 in a race like this may seem short, I thought he’d be shorter and this is a race where most are fairly exposed (exceptions including Crack Away Jack). The fact that David Pipe is yet to have a Cheltenham winner this Festival is a slight worry, but I still believe Salut Flo has an excellent chance of winning this.

Salut Flo; 2pts @ 11/2 Bet365, Boylesports (bog)

Kim Muir Challenge Cup

The bare form of GERTACRUE’ last win doesn’t add up to a great deal, it coming in a fairly weak Wincanton handicap chase over a little bit further than this. However, he’s a horse who is certainly capable of much better than his current rating, especially now back on what is likely his preferred ground, and looks a perfectly decent bet at the 18/1 mark. He’s had only three starts as a chaser but looks to have taken to them well, running a fine race on his penultimate start at Haydock over 3m4f in November, with a blunder two out costing him his chance. It may be that the trip at this stage of his career was just a little bit too far. He was given two months to get over his exertions and he certainly improved on his jumping when seen, beating Minella Stars in a hard-fought race. He’s up 5lbs for that victory, but he has plenty in his favour today. Firstly, the better ground will show him in a much better light, especially as he’s won on it before under rules and in a P2P, and certainly it should suit him better than the softer conditions that were present at Wincanton. Having plenty of time to get over that hard race (strong gales that day wouldn’t have made things easy), the big-field, testing finish and strong pace should definitely suit Gertacrue, as he’ll be a strong stayer of this 3m1½f trip. I still think he’s capable of being rated in the high 130’s in the near future. It may be that this race comes a little bit too soon in his career but he certainly seems to have sneaked in at the bottom of the weights in this race, and he’s a horse who I think potentially has a big future as a stayer. I wasn’t expecting 18/1 to be available and it’s a cracking price. Obviously, there’s plenty of dangers in a big-field such as this, with others having similar profiles, but I still think that Gertacrue is the one to be on

Gertacrue; 2pts @ 18/1 Bet365, William Hill (bog)

[notification_box] Summary of Bets

16:00 Cheltenham – Salut Flo; 2pts @ 11/2 Bet365, Boylesports (bog)

16:40 Cheltenham – Gertacrue; 2pts @ 18/1 Bet365, William Hill (bog) [/notification_box]

Longshot Betting – 14th March 2012

Profit secured on the day with a game victory for Balthazar King, who was advised on Sunday at 14/1. He jumped so well in a race marred by the deaths of two greats of that sphere. I’ll write a full review of the day at the end of the week, especially as I need to get this post up quite early as I’m awfully busy (going to Cheltenham itself tomorrow) Post below Continue reading “Longshot Betting – 14th March 2012”