Wednesday - Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Open NH Flat Race) - OHR - Betting Forums

Old 20-01-09, 07:45 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Wednesday - Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Open NH Flat Race)

Thoughts to follow...
 
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Old 07-03-09, 07:34 PM   #2 (permalink)
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I like to go for a 5yo that's only had one run and won.

With the amount of nice bumper horses Willie Mullins has this year, I find it hard to see him not winning it.

Out of his theres:
Gagewell Flyer
Not For Converting
Quel Esprit

Theres words going round that Sicilian Secret is his bumper horse this year but I'm not convinced. At the moment I like Quel Esprit, but will make a decision on the day.

After looking at the previous runnings of the bumper, it looks as though Mullins does better when he doesn't have multiple runners, so it looks as though when he enters loads up he doesn't have anything that stands out, maybe?

Also after looking at it, the market isn't a guide in this race, as when one of Mullins has won, on all but one or two occasions it's been one that hasn't been supported as well as another of his runners. It seems as though punters jump on the one that Ruby's riding.

I'll probably go for the one that Paul Townend rides, If Mullins does have a good one this year, I reckon he'll have him on it.
 
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Old 10-03-09, 09:09 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Been looking at this again and although the jockey bookings might suggest otherwise, I think Gagewell Flyer could be the winner. Will probably back Meath All Star e/w even though its a 6yo, but Paul Townend provides most of Mullins bumper winners and I reckon he'd want him on his leading chance.

Another thing I've noticed is that if a good candidate for the bumper is found, it's put away and doesn't run that year.
Morning Supreme, Gagewell Flyer and Meath All Star all fall into that category.

At the moment I'm strongly against Sicilian Secret.
 
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Old 10-03-09, 10:36 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Some Present will win the bumper. Get ya fancy prices!
 
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Old 11-03-09, 12:47 AM   #5 (permalink)
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I'm against Sicilian Secret for the simple reason that Willie Mullins has publicly stated that it's his best bumper horse. He played games with Hurricane Fly, he played games with Cousin Vinny and the course workout he gave his bumper string not so long ago was laughable as a means of determining rank.

Dunguib looks an absolute monster to me and I'm happy taking the 7/1.

I've also had a little each-way on Henry King of Victor Dartnall's.

Last edited by talkingspeedway; 11-03-09 at 01:15 AM..
 
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Old 11-03-09, 11:05 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Beware of stable 2nd or 3rd strings in this race as they often go better than the "fancied2 horse. If you believe Mr Weld, Rite of Passage isn't his best horse.
 
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Old 11-03-09, 11:49 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by The Duke View Post
Some Present will win the bumper. Get ya fancy prices!
Interesting. Bit of a race to dodge but Nicholls doesn't have many 33/1 shots so Red Harbour will carry my £1 ew.
 
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Old 11-03-09, 05:33 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Monster
 
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Old 11-03-09, 05:36 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by The Duke View Post
Some Present will win the bumper. Get ya fancy prices!
Ran a stormer man, 2nd, was 33s think it went off 25s.
 
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Old 11-03-09, 05:39 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Well done Jamie and TSW.

I got it completely wrong this year, I think it's quite strong that when Mullins has multiple runners he doesn't win.
 
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Old 11-03-09, 05:50 PM   #11 (permalink)
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that should be a golden rule FMH


well done on some present and dunguib guys.


great racing today, and i didnt have a winner !!!!
 
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Old 11-03-09, 06:09 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Well done Dunguib backers, if it was any other year Some Present would have landed me some massive bets at 40-1. I've had a nice wedge each-way on it, but have been backing it for months albeit at small amounts in the win market.

Not to worry!
 
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