Wednesday - RSA Steeple Chase

[The Duke]

Thoughts to follow...

[FMH]

Shortlist:
Casey Jones
Cooldine
Fair Point
Killyglen
Massinis Maguire
Siegemaster

[talkingspeedway]

I've backed Killyglen at decent prices for this.

The recent rain has likely scuppered my chances of collecting on stablemate Red Moloney in the Supreme, but conditions should prove ideal for Killyglen.

[jtw1]

Apply the following and are left with 4 to consider

31/34 were 1st or 2nd LTO

16/18 were aged 7-8yo's , only 2 6y-olds since 78' and only 1 9y-old in the past 18.

16/18 started 14/1 or UNDER , 5 favs have obliged .

17/18 ran within 50 days .

COOLDINE

KILLYGLEN

MASSINI´S MAGUIRE

SIEGEMASTER

are the 4 i'm left with .

Mullins record and the horses form so far gives COOLDINE a Favs chance

KILLYGLEN hasn't beaten much but you have to respect the Yard and the way he has won his races.

MASSINI'S MAGUIRE has a Cheltenham record of 3 , 1 , u , 3 , 1 and the HOBB'S stable have hit form at the right time after a quiet start to the season.

SIEGEMASTER could well be in the shake up IF the ground is Heavy , although last season's 4th behind Nenuphar Collonges in a Grade 1 Nov Hurdle at the Festival on G/S , has to be taken into account.

A negative against COOLDINE and MASSINI'S is the fact that were rated 151 and 150 respectively over Hurdles as 10/12 were rated 134 or UNDER .
Last season's winner was 135 so that could be quite important when making the selection.

KILLYGLEN [117] and SEIGEMASTER [135] fit that particular stat.

Decision time nearer the day

[broadsword]

Gone to lunch is my best and biggest bet of the festival backed him from 16's all the way down. Will out jump them and out stay them all.I think Mccoys got to the bottom of him now knows to go for him real early cause he just keeps going.Cooldine would be the only danger IMO.
Can't be having Massini's at any price dosen't jump and and wont see out the trip.

[Thommo]

I agree about Massinis Maguire, won't see out the trip and will falter up the hill. Looks a solid lay.

[broadsword]

Yeah I do think Massinis is a good horse though.If he could just get his jumping together I think he would be very hard to beat over 2 and a half.

[jtw1]

Originally Posted by jtw1

Apply the following and are left with 4 to consider 31/34 were 1st or 2nd LTO 16/18 were aged 7-8yo's , only 2 6y-olds since 78' and only 1 9y-old in the past 18. 16/18 started 14/1 or UNDER , 5 favs have obliged . 17/18 ran within 50 days . COOLDINE KILLYGLEN MASSINI´S MAGUIRE SIEGEMASTER are the 4 i'm left with . Mullins record and the horses form so far gives COOLDINE a Favs chance KILLYGLEN hasn't beaten much but you have to respect the Yard and the way he has won his races. MASSINI'S MAGUIRE has a Cheltenham record of 3 , 1 , u , 3 , 1 and the HOBB'S stable have hit form at the right time after a quiet start to the season. SIEGEMASTER could well be in the shake up IF the ground is Heavy , although last season's 4th behind Nenuphar Collonges in a Grade 1 Nov Hurdle at the Festival on G/S , has to be taken into account. A negative against COOLDINE and MASSINI'S is the fact that were rated 151 and 150 respectively over Hurdles as 10/12 were rated 134 or UNDER . Last season's winner was 135 so that could be quite important when making the selection. KILLYGLEN [117] and SEIGEMASTER [135] fit that particular stat. Decision time nearer the day

SEIGEMASTER is now rated as a 25/1 shot so that's him out of the equation.

COOLDINE will start as Fav but he would appear to me to be wanting much softer going than he is going to get so i'm giving him the swerve.

At around 12/1 each i'm going for EW bets on MASSINI'S MAGUIRE , even though he is a bit highly rated on Hurdle form than whats perfect for this race but his Course form sticks out , and KILLYGLEN a promising young horse from Howard Johnston's yard .