Summer UNDER'S , for an interest . - OHR

jtw1 · 12-06-09, 02:07 PM

Ok the Summer leagues are well under way and i think it's time to have a bash at the UNDER 2.5 goal market with a bit of a twist from the usual selection process.

What i'm proposing is picking games from those leagues where the Unders are sitting at 60% or better and right now both the Finnish VEIKKAUSLIIGA [63.5%] + YKKONEN[67.3%] , the Swedish ALLVENSKAN [60.4] , RUSSIAN PREMIER [62.8%] and the IRISH PREMIER [ 60%] are in that bracket .

Now where i used to look at past h2h results to start looking at games where Unders may happen , for this thread i'm going to concentrate on the last 6 home/away league games and selecting those teams where their goal tally is less than games played ..

To give an example we'll start off with the 1st selection and thats over in Finland where KuPS take on MyPa on Saturday.

KuPS have played 3 HOME games and have only scored 2 goals in those.
MyPa have played 4 AWAYS and have only scored 1 goal in those.

So it's only the league stats and games/goals ratio i'm looking at here , if there happens to be a decent h2h then i'll flag that up but as i say it's not a necessity here .

Another change is that instead of going for 3 straight wins , it'll only be 2 this time .
Staring as usual with 100pt bank and all odds will be care of [Only registered and activated users can see links. ].

BET 1 - STAKE 10pts on UNDER 2.5 goals , Kups v MyPa , @ 1.61

rogsmith · 13-06-09, 07:40 AM

Nice idea mate,good to see some footy interest in the summer.

jtw1 · 13-06-09, 03:57 PM

Nice start , even if it was a long 2nd half

0-2 ft

jtw1 · 13-06-09, 04:12 PM

Bet 2 - Sunday - SATURN v LOKOMOTIV M - Russian Prem .

Saturn have played 6 at home and scored 2 .
Lokomotiv have played 5 aways and scored 2 goals .

Stake 16.1 pts on UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.5 with [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]/Stan James

**The Duke** · 13-06-09, 10:34 PM

Nice start to the thread mate, lets hope its a sign of things to come!

jtw1 · 14-06-09, 07:53 PM

Cheers mate

2-0 ft

So that a return of 24.15pts all of which is banked

Staring Bank = 100pts

Current Bank = 114.15pts

jtw1 · 16-06-09, 08:05 PM

Weds - Finnish VEIKKAUSLIIGA
-------------------------------------

TAMPERE v RoPS

TAMPERE have scored 4 goals in 5 Homes
RoPS have scored 3 goals in 5 Aways

Stake 10pts UNDER 2.5 @ 1.82 [ [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]]

jtw1 · 18-06-09, 08:48 PM

3-1 ft

Friday - Irish Premier .
-------------------------

DROGHEDA v St PATS

Drogheda have scored 5 in 6 homes
St Pats have scored 3 in 6 aways

Stake 10pts @ 1.53 with [Only registered and activated users can see links. ] .

jtw1 · 19-06-09, 09:52 PM

1-0 Returns = 15.30pts.

Unfortunately theres no selections for the weekend , just have to hold fire folks

jtw1 · 23-06-09, 07:11 PM

Weds - Finnish Veik'liga
----------------------------

TURKU PS v RopS

TPS have scored 4 in 5 homes.
RoPS have scored 4 in 6 aways .

Now RoPS do let in a lot of goals and are 11/1 to win the game , so with the odds of Under 2.5 goals around 2.1 , i'm going to go for UNDER 3.5 here as the odds are quite attractive imo.

Stake 15.30pts @ UNDER 3.5 @ 1.4 with [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

jtw1 · 28-06-09, 01:49 PM

A 5 goal game last week blew the bet out of the water

Its back to Finland today and KPV v PK-35

KPV have scored 4 in 4 home games and have had 6/9 league games finish Under so far this season.
PK-35 have scored 4 in 5 aways and have similarly had 6/9 games end Under this season

Stake 10pts @ 1.76 [bet365]

jtw1 · 28-06-09, 07:13 PM

Originally Posted by jtw1

A 5 goal game last week blew the bet out of the water

Its back to Finland today and KPV v PK-35

KPV have scored 4 in 4 home games and have had 6/9 league games finish Under so far this season.
PK-35 have scored 4 in 5 aways and have similarly had 6/9 games end Under this season

Stake 10pts @ 1.76 [bet365]

1-0 ft

Returns = 17.60pts

jtw1 · 29-06-09, 07:38 PM

Weds - Finland - RoPS v JJK

RoPS have scored 2 in 4 homes [ 3/4 homes have ended Under ]
JJK have scored 3 in 5 aways [ 3/5 aways have ended Under]

[Only registered and activated users can see links. ] are offering a generous 1.9 on Under 2.5 and thats well worth taking imo.

jtw1 · 01-07-09, 06:28 PM

Originally Posted by jtw1

Weds - Finland - RoPS v JJK

RoPS have scored 2 in 4 homes [ 3/4 homes have ended Under ]
JJK have scored 3 in 5 aways [ 3/5 aways have ended Under]

[Only registered and activated users can see links. ] are offering a generous 1.9 on Under 2.5 and thats well worth taking imo.

FT RoPS Rovaniemi [2 - 1] Jyvaskyla JK
52' J. Kwom
74' [1 - 0] M. Maisonvaara (pen.) M. Paija
88' [1 - 1] I.K. Nam
90' [2 - 1] C. Musonda

:angry_smil e:

2 sendings off and it goes tits up in the last 2 mins !!!!!

jtw1 · 04-07-09, 12:02 AM

Sat - KuPS v RoPS - Finland

KuPS have scored 2 in 4 homes

RoPS have scored 5 in 6 aways

5/6 corresponding fixtures have ended UNDER

Stake 10pts @ 2.0 [stan james]

jtw1 · 06-07-09, 04:28 PM

To be honest i usually run an UNDERS thread which is based on h2h [in the corresponding fixture ] and the amount of Unders each team has had within the past 6 league games , the criteria i've been using lately [ no of goals scored by home team v amount scored by away team ] does seem to have it's flaws and therefore i'm going back to my original rules .

h2h + last 6 league games in a 3 bet acca .

Lost nearly a quarter of the bank so the old ways will help .

TUESDAY - Irish PREM
--------------------------

CORK v ST PATS has ended UNDER the last 6 occasions at Cork's ground.

CORK have had the last 5/6 homes end Under.

St PATS have had the last 4/6 aways end Under

Stake 10pts @ 1.61 with [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

jtw1 · 07-07-09, 09:46 PM

0-1 FT

Returns = 16.10pts

jtw1 · 08-07-09, 07:44 PM

Friday - Irish Prem
----------------------

DERRY v DROGHEDA has finishihed UNDER in 9 of the past 11 corresponding fixtures.

DERRY have had 4/6 homes end UNDER

DROGHEDA have had 4/6 awys end UNDER

Stake 16.10pts @ 1.7 - [Only registered and activated users can see links. ].

**The Duke** · 08-07-09, 08:03 PM

Well done lad.

jtw1 · 10-07-09, 10:19 PM

0-1 f-t

Returns = 27.37pts

Sat -Finnish Ykonnen - JIPPO v AC OULU has been UNDER in 2/2 previous meetings.

JIPPO have had 4/5 homes end UNDER

AC OULU have had 3/6 aways end UNDER

Stake 25pts @ 1.75 Under 2.5 goals - SportingBet

Stake 2.37pts on 1-2 ft result @ 9.0 - SportingBet

jtw1 · 11-07-09, 04:08 PM

JIPPO 0-1

Returns = 43.75pts which we'll stick into the bank .

Staring Bank - 100pts
Current Bank - 117.90pts .

jtw1 · 12-07-09, 10:13 PM

Monday - Sweden - Allvenskan
------------------------------------

AIK v GOTEBORG has ended UNDER in 8 of the last 11 corresponding fixture

AIK have had 5/6 homes end UNDER

GOTEBORG have had 5/6 aways end UNDER

Stake 10pts on UNDER @ 1.61 - [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

jtw1 · 13-07-09, 08:49 PM

AIK 1-0

RETURNS = 16.10pts

**The Duke** · 14-07-09, 02:07 PM

Well done mate.

jtw1 · 16-07-09, 07:24 PM

FRI - Irish prem
--------------------

DROGHEDA v BRAY has ended UNDER in 5 of the last 7 corresponding fixtures.

DROGHEDA have had 4 out of 6 homes end Under

BRAY have had 4 out of 6 aways end Under

Stake 15.10 pts on Under 2.5 @ 1.55 - Sporting Bet

Stake 1pt on 2-1 home win @ 10.0 - [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

12-06-09, 02:07 PM	#1 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	Summer UNDER'S , for an interest . Ok the Summer leagues are well under way and i think it's time to have a bash at the UNDER 2.5 goal market with a bit of a twist from the usual selection process. What i'm proposing is picking games from those leagues where the Unders are sitting at 60% or better and right now both the Finnish VEIKKAUSLIIGA [63.5%] + YKKONEN[67.3%] , the Swedish ALLVENSKAN [60.4] , RUSSIAN PREMIER [62.8%] and the IRISH PREMIER [ 60%] are in that bracket . Now where i used to look at past h2h results to start looking at games where Unders may happen , for this thread i'm going to concentrate on the last 6 home/away league games and selecting those teams where their goal tally is less than games played .. To give an example we'll start off with the 1st selection and thats over in Finland where KuPS take on MyPa on Saturday. KuPS have played 3 HOME games and have only scored 2 goals in those. MyPa have played 4 AWAYS and have only scored 1 goal in those. So it's only the league stats and games/goals ratio i'm looking at here , if there happens to be a decent h2h then i'll flag that up but as i say it's not a necessity here . Another change is that instead of going for 3 straight wins , it'll only be 2 this time . Staring as usual with 100pt bank and all odds will be care of [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]. BET 1 - STAKE 10pts on UNDER 2.5 goals , Kups v MyPa , @ 1.61

13-06-09, 10:34 PM	#5 (permalink)
The Duke King Of The Sand Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Birmingham vCash: 3075	Nice start to the thread mate, lets hope its a sign of things to come! __________________ OHRacing: Homepage OHRacing: On Facebook OHRacing: On Twitter OHRacing: Facebook/Board Application

08-07-09, 08:03 PM	#19 (permalink)
The Duke King Of The Sand Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Birmingham vCash: 3075	Well done lad. __________________ OHRacing: Homepage OHRacing: On Facebook OHRacing: On Twitter OHRacing: Facebook/Board Application

14-07-09, 02:07 PM	#24 (permalink)
The Duke King Of The Sand Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Birmingham vCash: 3075	Well done mate. __________________ OHRacing: Homepage OHRacing: On Facebook OHRacing: On Twitter OHRacing: Facebook/Board Application

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13-06-09, 07:40 AM	#2 (permalink)
rogsmith Claimer Join Date: Mar 2009	Nice idea mate,good to see some footy interest in the summer.

13-06-09, 03:57 PM	#3 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	Nice start , even if it was a long 2nd half 0-2 ft

13-06-09, 04:12 PM	#4 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	Bet 2 - Sunday - SATURN v LOKOMOTIV M - Russian Prem . Saturn have played 6 at home and scored 2 . Lokomotiv have played 5 aways and scored 2 goals . Stake 16.1 pts on UNDER 2.5 goals @ 1.5 with [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]/Stan James

14-06-09, 07:53 PM	#6 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	Cheers mate 2-0 ft So that a return of 24.15pts all of which is banked Staring Bank = 100pts Current Bank = 114.15pts

16-06-09, 08:05 PM	#7 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	Weds - Finnish VEIKKAUSLIIGA ------------------------------------- TAMPERE v RoPS TAMPERE have scored 4 goals in 5 Homes RoPS have scored 3 goals in 5 Aways Stake 10pts UNDER 2.5 @ 1.82 [ [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]]

18-06-09, 08:48 PM	#8 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	3-1 ft Friday - Irish Premier . ------------------------- DROGHEDA v St PATS Drogheda have scored 5 in 6 homes St Pats have scored 3 in 6 aways Stake 10pts @ 1.53 with [Only registered and activated users can see links. ] .

19-06-09, 09:52 PM	#9 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	1-0 Returns = 15.30pts. Unfortunately theres no selections for the weekend , just have to hold fire folks

23-06-09, 07:11 PM	#10 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	Weds - Finnish Veik'liga ---------------------------- TURKU PS v RopS TPS have scored 4 in 5 homes. RoPS have scored 4 in 6 aways . Now RoPS do let in a lot of goals and are 11/1 to win the game , so with the odds of Under 2.5 goals around 2.1 , i'm going to go for UNDER 3.5 here as the odds are quite attractive imo. Stake 15.30pts @ UNDER 3.5 @ 1.4 with [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

28-06-09, 01:49 PM	#11 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	A 5 goal game last week blew the bet out of the water Its back to Finland today and KPV v PK-35 KPV have scored 4 in 4 home games and have had 6/9 league games finish Under so far this season. PK-35 have scored 4 in 5 aways and have similarly had 6/9 games end Under this season Stake 10pts @ 1.76 [bet365]

29-06-09, 07:38 PM	#13 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	Weds - Finland - RoPS v JJK RoPS have scored 2 in 4 homes [ 3/4 homes have ended Under ] JJK have scored 3 in 5 aways [ 3/5 aways have ended Under] [Only registered and activated users can see links. ] are offering a generous 1.9 on Under 2.5 and thats well worth taking imo.

Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)

04-07-09, 12:02 AM	#15 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	Sat - KuPS v RoPS - Finland KuPS have scored 2 in 4 homes RoPS have scored 5 in 6 aways 5/6 corresponding fixtures have ended UNDER Stake 10pts @ 2.0 [stan james]

06-07-09, 04:28 PM	#16 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	To be honest i usually run an UNDERS thread which is based on h2h [in the corresponding fixture ] and the amount of Unders each team has had within the past 6 league games , the criteria i've been using lately [ no of goals scored by home team v amount scored by away team ] does seem to have it's flaws and therefore i'm going back to my original rules . h2h + last 6 league games in a 3 bet acca . Lost nearly a quarter of the bank so the old ways will help . TUESDAY - Irish PREM -------------------------- CORK v ST PATS has ended UNDER the last 6 occasions at Cork's ground. CORK have had the last 5/6 homes end Under. St PATS have had the last 4/6 aways end Under Stake 10pts @ 1.61 with [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

07-07-09, 09:46 PM	#17 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	0-1 FT Returns = 16.10pts

08-07-09, 07:44 PM	#18 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	Friday - Irish Prem ---------------------- DERRY v DROGHEDA has finishihed UNDER in 9 of the past 11 corresponding fixtures. DERRY have had 4/6 homes end UNDER DROGHEDA have had 4/6 awys end UNDER Stake 16.10pts @ 1.7 - [Only registered and activated users can see links. ].

10-07-09, 10:19 PM	#20 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	0-1 f-t Returns = 27.37pts Sat -Finnish Ykonnen - JIPPO v AC OULU has been UNDER in 2/2 previous meetings. JIPPO have had 4/5 homes end UNDER AC OULU have had 3/6 aways end UNDER Stake 25pts @ 1.75 Under 2.5 goals - SportingBet Stake 2.37pts on 1-2 ft result @ 9.0 - SportingBet

11-07-09, 04:08 PM	#21 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	JIPPO 0-1 Returns = 43.75pts which we'll stick into the bank . Staring Bank - 100pts Current Bank - 117.90pts .

12-07-09, 10:13 PM	#22 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	Monday - Sweden - Allvenskan ------------------------------------ AIK v GOTEBORG has ended UNDER in 8 of the last 11 corresponding fixture AIK have had 5/6 homes end UNDER GOTEBORG have had 5/6 aways end UNDER Stake 10pts on UNDER @ 1.61 - [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

13-07-09, 08:49 PM	#23 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	AIK 1-0 RETURNS = 16.10pts

16-07-09, 07:24 PM	#25 (permalink)
jtw1 Group 1 Level Join Date: Jun 2008 Location: west calder , scotland vCash: 1750	FRI - Irish prem -------------------- DROGHEDA v BRAY has ended UNDER in 5 of the last 7 corresponding fixtures. DROGHEDA have had 4 out of 6 homes end Under BRAY have had 4 out of 6 aways end Under Stake 15.10 pts on Under 2.5 @ 1.55 - Sporting Bet Stake 1pt on 2-1 home win @ 10.0 - [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]