Duke’s Tips – 6th August 2012

The luckless run continues with the blog, with my last selection deciding to get beat when I tipped him but then bolt up a few days later off the same mark. It has been a bizarre season so far for me so will keep plugging away in the hope that we’ll connect eventually.

Some good all-weather action tomorrow and this could provide a saving grace for some decent reliable ground given the amount of rain we’ve seen around the country on Sunday which forced Chester to abandon its card early, and the evening before Hamilton to call off their meeting due to thunder and lightning.

Four selections for me today on an all-weather packed bonanza, my first of which comes in the (5:00) at Kempton in the shape of the Ralph Beckett trained Fleur De La Vie. A winner last time out, the three-year-old filly of Primary showed a really likeable attitude to fend off first Astroscarlet and then Bridgehampton in a really good time. Astroscarlet has since run above her rating again, and Bridgehampton won a competitive handicap at Sandown on his next start so the form of that last race looks strong. Running off just a 6lb higher mark than for that success I feel there could be another 10lb or so in the locker with this one, and I’m hopeful she can get my day off to winning ways.

My second interest at Kempton runs in what I’m hoping will be the ‘lucky’ (5:30) last in the shape of Oblitereight, and I’ll be hoping that Jim Crowley can double up in quick succession given that he rides the selection first mentioned in this blog. The gelded son of Bertolini ran to around this mark when winning over C&D and has run on three starts since a poor showing over a mile at Kempton. This isn’t the best race in the world and I fully expect him to be competitive off this mark, at a track he goes well at.

My first of two bets on the card at Wolverhampton runs in the (6:50) and is called Mother Jones. The filly ran well over course and distance last time held up in a race where it paid to sit handy and is better than the form suggests despite that race being a seller. I have running a few lbs above her handicap mark on that occasion and with Matthew Cosham getting back on board the daughter of Sleeping Indian, I fancy it to go close in what looks a moderate race for the grade.

Finally at Wolverhampton again and against my better judgement I’m going to give another chance to ‘brain-dead’ Ted Durcan aboard Main Line in the (8:50). The beneficiary of some absolutely shocking rides in his career so far, Main Line was reported to be unsuited by the faster ground on offer at Newmarket when last seen, and given he is a big strapping sort it isn’t hard to see why he didn’t handle conditions. Back to the all-weather tomorrow off a very workable mark of 76 against exposed older horses and horses I don’t think are as good, I think he is a cracking price at 11-2.

[notification_box]My Bets:
2pts win Fleur De La Vie @ 5-2 with Bet365 and PaddyPower
2pts win Oblitereight @ 7-2 with Bet365, PaddyPower, BetVictor
1.5pt each-way Mother Jones @ 8-1 with Bet365
2pt win Main Line @ 11-2 with BetVictor, PaddyPower, WilliamHill
1pt win Yankee with Bet365 all prices above (5-1 Main Line).[/notification_box]

 

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