Duke’s Tips – 26th May 2012

Haydock-007

Apologies for the lack of action on the blog front over the past month, but I have been busy with a few projects I have going at the moment. However I will be looking to get back to some form of normality within the next couple of weeks.

Some rather excellent racing tomorrow as the flat gets under full swing and with plenty of sunshine around it is finally beginning to feel like we are racing ‘proper’ after a tepid start to the campaign.

One I really like the look of at Haydock runs in the Silver Bowl at (2:30), and goes by the name of FROG HOLLOW who looks a very reasonable price at around 6-1 based on his run at Newmarket last time out.

The likable grey son of Intikhab sat well off the pace in last place in a race where it paid to sit handy (1st and 2nd raced in the van throughout) and made a big swooping move from the three furlong pole to get into contention as the race was quickening in-front of him. He almost got level with eventual winner Rewarded a furlong out, but wasn’t knocked around when he met the rising ground and the exertions of his placement, and lack of a recent run took its toll.

He gets a 5lb swing in the weight with Archbishop for 2.5L, and I feel Frog Hollow could have been a lot closer had he not had to make that big mid-race manoeuvre, or his jockey continued to apply firm pressure inside the final furlong. He is well drawn in stall 5, will love the ground and has the benefit of that recent outing under his belt.

Rewarded has since gone on to run a very respectable fifth (suffering bad interference) in the London Gold Cup handicap at Newbury, and Mr Red Clubs ran way above his official rating when fifth to Aljamaaheer at Newmarket on his next start which all points to a big run from Frog Hollow under regular pilot Jim Crowley.

The only slight concern is that Ralph Beckett has yet to train a winner at Haydock in the last 5 years but this looks as good a chance as any, and a chance to steal a quite valuable pot too.

3pts win Frog Hollow @ 6-1 with BetfredLadbrokesBetVictorWilliamHill 


 

This post was written by The Duke

Dukes Tips   26th May 2012
Owner of OHRacing; and one of many racing enthusiasts around the world. Try to specialise in the art of speed figures, growing increasingly interested in Australian racing. Hates the winter and generally dislikes National Hunt racing (apart from the Cheltenham Festival). Spend far too much time burning the midnight oil inputting ratings into spreadsheets and generally trying to make the game pay.

Can be seen on Twitter @OHRacing, and marauding through the OHRacing betting community.

The Duke has written posts on OHRacing.

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