I guess to those of you reading this blog it is becoming quite repetitive but yet more brutal luck was sent our way on Tuesday, first by the heavens opening in the Midlands area (both selections want decent ground), and then having to watch Toby Belch get gambled into 11-4 (hit 1.22 IR) from 12-1 and finish, yep you’ve guessed it, second!
However we shall persist in the hope that a flood of winners are just around the corner, and we’re back at it tomorrow at Hereford.
The ground is currently listed as soft, and with no more forecast tomorrow it shouldn’t get any worse than that.
David Pipe landing a right touch at Leicester today with Painter Man in the (4:10) at Leicester today, and I like two of his tomorrow at Hereford, for a yard clearly ahead of the game at the moment.
My first selection is Quinte Du Chatelet and runs in the (3:00) at Hereford. The gelded son of Lavirico has been in the handicappers’ grip of late but showed signs of returning to form when fourth last time over an extra furlong at Taunton.
The David Pipe outfit have equipped him with the first time cheek-pieces, so clearly of the opinion that he isn’t putting it all in, in his races and he is now just 2lb higher than when destroying Cadoudalas at Chepstow back in January 2010.
His form on ground soft or worse reads (1151114806) which compared to on ground quicker than soft reads (7F3406934) so clearly has a massive preference for plenty of give underfoot, and usually when the ground is soft at Hereford, it is very soft (see the meeting where Strongbows Legend won the big chase a month back).
His last three form figures on soft/heavy have come off marks far too high for him, and off the back of a long layoff, which if you forgive him those runs he would have an even better record on this sort of ground (1151114) – not bad?
There has been plenty of money behind Domo Boy who also gets the first time cheek-pieces for trainer Jonjo O’Neill but there is absolutely nothing on form to recommend him despite Maurice Linehan taking off 7lb, and being very good for his claim.
In the following race (3:30), it is another David Pipe running I’m looking towards and I’m taking a chance on the first-time blinkers firing up Home Run, who looks hilariously well handicapped off 94 first time in a handicap hurdle.
Either David Pipe is an absolute genius, or this horse has lost a couple of legs on the way over the English Channel, because on his Deauville fibresand flat ratings I have before me he should of been doing a lot more than what he has done so far. Perhaps it is taking him some time to acclimatise to the British way of life, or perhaps the Pipe’s have decided not to train him over the last couple of months with a view to landing a filthy handicap plot with the shades on for the first time? To be honest I don’t know, and I’m rubbish at predicting those sorts of things.
It would appear though after going off at 40/1, 50/1, and 100/1 on his three hurdles starts prior to getting a mark, which mysteriously he has been absolutely smashed up in the market on Betfair and although I’ve missed the early 4-1 with Bet365, the current 3-1 with VCBet rates a bet.
Finally at a shorter price on the evening card at Kempton, it’ll take something to improve beyond all reasonable doubt to topple the favourite Dark Castle in the (6:40). The form of his victory last time has already been working out, with Gabrials Bounty advertising his wellbeing in a handicap when last seen, and Abi Scarlett beaten a huge distance winning at Southwell on Tuesday.
From what I saw when this son of Dark Angel won over C&D, suggested he is better than his current rating of 74 and is the least exposed runner in the field, open to further improvement.