Duke’s Tips – 24th July 2012

A seriously unlucky run by Mijhaar when I last did a blog, the Roger Varian trained colt was still travelling with promise when almost brought down when long time leader Fair Trade weakened into his path. Neil Callan did exceptionally well to keep the partnership intact, and rightfully eased the horse right down after that – there will be other days in this smart sort.

It has been a while since my last selection, and this has mainly been down to a lack of real time to put into this area of the website. I’ve been around on Twitter via my handle (@OHRacing) on an almost daily basis and do try and post some daily thoughts up when possible, providing I fancy anything.

Onto today then and there is one selection up at Musselburgh (3:00), who I think is vastly overpriced in what looks a weak race. The Dandy Nicholls trained Majestic Manannan is a lightly raced sort capable of improving on what we’ve seen so far, and has put together back to back decent performances to suggest an entrance into the winners enclosure could be possible.

A good third on comeback after a lacklustre juvenile campaign, the fourth Legal Bond has since ran a respectable third behind both Henry Bee (handicap winner off 72 next time) and Economic Crisis (has since won off 57 and 63). The way Majestic Manannan ran on comeback was a touch too keen, and that run will have taken the fizz off him ahead of his next run on the fibresand at Southwell.

That effort came in what will most likely turn out to be a rather hot handicap, with the first and second both newcomers who clocked good times on debut, and I overheard Robert Cowell being interviewed on ATR suggesting his filly (who finished second) will end up being a decent rated filly by the end of the season. Although beaten 3L into third, the gelded son of Majestic Missile pulled 8 lengths clear of the fourth Marmalade Moon to suggest he run well above his official rating of 60, and what he runs off later this afternoon.

On form Elegant Girl is held by Majestic Manannan on both its running with Legal Bond, and Marmalade Moon and with that currently a 5-1 chance, I think the Dandy Nicholls trained run is vastly overpriced (I have it around a 4-1 chance), and when you take that into account, and the fact fibresand form can transfer well to Musselburgh it is worth investing in.

Elsewhere today see’s the return of Kuanyao who runs down at Yarmouth again after a solid run over C&D when last seen. He features in my 10 Horses To Follow list, and looks sure to go close providing there isn’t any rain throughout tomorrow morning (it isn’t forecasted).

[notification_box]3pts win Majestic Manannan @ 9-1 with Bet365[/notification_box]

 

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